Reading 73
MODULE 73.1: OPTION VALUATION
Explain the exercise value, moneyness, and time value of an option.
Moneyness refers to whether an option is in the money or out of the money. If immediate exercise of the option would generate a positive payoff, it is in the money. If immediate exercise would result in a loss (negative payoff), it is out of the money. When the current asset price equals the exercise price, exercise will generate neither a gain nor loss, and the option is at the money.
The following describes the conditions for a call option to be in, out of, or at the money. $S$ is the price of the underlying asset and $X$ is the exercise price of the option.
- In-the-money call options. If $S - X > 0$, a call option is in the money. $S - X$ is the amount of the payoff a call holder would receive from immediate exercise — buying a share for $X$ and selling it in the market for a greater price $S$.
- Out-of-the-money call options. If $S - X < 0$, a call option is out of the money.
- At-the-money call options. If $S = X$, a call option is said to be at the money.
| Condition | Relationship | Status |
|---|---|---|
| $S > X$ | $S - X > 0$ | In the money |
| $S = X$ | $S - X = 0$ | At the money |
| $S < X$ | $S - X < 0$ | Out of the money |
The following describes the conditions for a put option to be in, out of, or at the money.
- In-the-money put options. If $X - S > 0$, a put option is in the money. $X - S$ is the amount of the payoff from immediate exercise — buying a share for $S$ and exercising the put to receive $X$ for the share.
- Out-of-the-money put options. When the stock's price is greater than the exercise price, a put option is said to be out of the money. If $X - S < 0$, a put option is out of the money.
- At-the-money put options. If $S = X$, a put option is said to be at the money.
| Condition | Relationship | Status |
|---|---|---|
| $X > S$ | $X - S > 0$ | In the money |
| $X = S$ | $X - S = 0$ | At the money |
| $X < S$ | $X - S < 0$ | Out of the money |
Consider a July 40 call and a July 40 put, both on a stock that is currently selling for $\$37$/share. Calculate how much these options are in or out of the money.
The call is $\$3$ out of the money because $S - X = -\$3.00$. The put is $\$3$ in the money because $X - S = \$3.00$.
We define the exercise value (or intrinsic value) of an option as the maximum of zero and the amount that the option is in the money. That is, the exercise value is the amount an option is in the money, if it is in the money, or zero if the option is at or out of the money. The exercise value is the value of the option if exercised immediately.
Prior to expiration, an option has time value in addition to its exercise value. The time value of an option is the amount by which the option premium (price) exceeds the exercise value and is sometimes called the speculative value of the option. This relationship can be written as:
option premium = exercise value + time value
At any point during the life of an option, its value will typically be greater than its exercise value. This is because there is some probability that the underlying asset price will change in an amount that gives the option a positive payoff at expiration greater than the current exercise value. Recall that an option's exercise value (to a buyer) is the amount of the payoff at expiration and has a lower bound of zero.
When an option reaches expiration, there is no time remaining and the time value is zero. This means the value at expiration is either zero, if the option is at or out of the money, or its exercise value, if it is in the money.
價內外狀態(Moneyness)是指選擇權目前是價內或價外。立即履約若有正報酬,即為價內(in the money);立即履約若會損失,即為價外(out of the money);當標的資產價格等於履約價時,履約既不獲利也不損失,稱為價平(at the money)。
買權(Call):
- $S > X$($S - X > 0$)→ 價內,立即履約以 $X$ 買入並以市價 $S$ 賣出,獲利 $S - X$。
- $S < X$ → 價外。
- $S = X$ → 價平。
賣權(Put):
- $X > S$($X - S > 0$)→ 價內,立即履約以 $S$ 買入後再以 $X$ 賣出,獲利 $X - S$。
- $X < S$ → 價外。
- $X = S$ → 價平。
例題:July 40 買權與賣權(履約價 $\$40$、到期日七月),標的股價 $\$37$。買權價外 $\$3$($S - X = -\$3$);賣權價內 $\$3$($X - S = \$3$)。
履約價值(intrinsic value)= max(0, 價內金額);即價內的金額,若價平或價外則為零。
時間價值(time value)= 選擇權權利金 − 履約價值(亦稱投機價值)。即:
權利金 = 履約價值 + 時間價值
到期前,選擇權通常價值高於履約價值,因為標的資產仍可能變動到對買方有利的方向。到期時時間價值歸零,價值即等於履約價值(價內)或零(價外、價平)。
Contrast the use of arbitrage and replication concepts in pricing forward commitments and contingent claims.
To model forward commitments, we used no-arbitrage pricing based on an initial value of zero to both parties. With options, however, the initial values of options are positive; the buyer pays a premium (the option price) to the writer (seller). Another difference is that where forward commitments have essentially unlimited gains or losses for both parties (except to the extent that prices are constrained by zero), options are one-sided: potential losses for the buyer, and potential gains for the writer, are limited to the premium paid. For these reasons, the no-arbitrage approach we use for pricing contingent claims is different from the model we use for forward commitments.
The following is some terminology that we will use to determine the minimum and maximum values for European options:
- $S_t$ = price of the underlying stock at time $t$
- $X$ = exercise price of the option
- $T - t$ = time to expiration
- $c_t$ = price of a European call at any time $t$ prior to expiration at time $T$
- $p_t$ = price of a European put at any time $t$ prior to expiration at time $T$
- $R_f$ = risk-free rate
Upper Bound for Call Options. The maximum value of a European call option at any time $t$ is the time-$t$ share price of the underlying stock. No one would pay more for the right to buy an asset than the asset's market value — it would be cheaper simply to buy the underlying asset. At time $t = 0$, the upper boundary is $c_0 \le S_0$, and at any time $t$ the upper boundary is $c_t \le S_t$.
Upper Bound for Put Options. The value of a put cannot exceed its exercise price (the payoff if the underlying drops to zero). However, because European puts cannot be exercised prior to expiration, their maximum value is the present value of the exercise price discounted at the risk-free rate. Even if the stock price goes to zero and is expected to stay at zero, the put buyer will not receive the intrinsic value $X$ until expiration.
At time $t = 0$, for European puts:
$p_0 \le X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$
At any time $t$ during the put's life:
$p_t \le X(1 + R_f)^{-(T-t)}$
Lower Bounds for Options. Theoretically, no option will sell for less than its intrinsic value, and no option can take on a negative value. For European options, however, the lower bound is not so obvious because these options are not exercisable immediately. To determine the lower bounds, we examine the value of a portfolio in which the option is combined with a long or short position in the stock and a pure-discount bond.
For a European call option, construct the following portfolio at $t = 0$:
- A long at-the-money European call option with exercise price $X$, expiring at time $T$.
- A long discount bond priced to yield the risk-free rate that pays $X$ at option expiration.
- A short position in one share of the underlying stock priced at $S_0 = X$.
The current value of this portfolio is $c_0 - S_0 + X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$.
At expiration time $T$, the portfolio pays $c_T - S_T + X$. We collect $c_T = \max[0, S_T - X]$ on the call, pay $S_T$ to cover the short stock, and collect $X$ from the bond.
- If $S_T \ge X$, the call pays $S_T - X$, the bond pays $+X$, and we pay $-S_T$ to cover the short. Payoff: $S_T - X + X - S_T = 0$.
- If $S_T < X$, the call value is zero, we collect $X$ on the bond, and pay $-S_T$ to cover the short. Payoff: $0 + X - S_T = X - S_T \ge 0$.
No matter the outcome, the portfolio value is non-negative. To prevent arbitrage, a portfolio with no possibility of a negative payoff cannot have a negative value:
$c_0 - S_0 + X(1 + R_f)^{-T} \ge 0$
which gives $c_0 \ge S_0 - X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$. Combined with the lower limit of zero:
$c_0 \ge \max\!\left[0,\; S_0 - X(1 + R_f)^{-T}\right]$
Note that $X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$ is the present value of a pure-discount bond with face value $X$.
For a European put option, form the following portfolio at $t = 0$:
- A long at-the-money European put option with exercise price $X$, expiring at $T$.
- A short position on a risk-free bond priced at $X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$ (equivalent to borrowing $X(1 + R_f)^{-T}$).
- A long position in a share of the underlying stock priced at $S_0$.
At expiration $T$, the portfolio pays $p_T + S_T - X$. We collect $p_T = \max[0, X - S_T]$ on the put, receive $S_T$ from the stock, and pay $X$ on the bond (loan).
- If $S_T \ge X$, payoff equals $p_T + S_T - X = S_T - X \ge 0$.
- If $S_T < X$, payoff equals $0$.
The portfolio has no negative payoff, so its value at $t = 0$ must be non-negative:
$p_0 + S_0 - X(1 + R_f)^{-T} \ge 0$
Rearranging gives the minimum value:
$p_0 \ge \max\!\left[0,\; X(1 + R_f)^{-T} - S_0\right]$
| Option | Minimum Value | Maximum Value |
|---|---|---|
| European call | $c_t \ge \max\!\left[0,\; S_t - X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}\right]$ | $S_t$ |
| European put | $p_t \ge \max\!\left[0,\; X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)} - S_t\right]$ | $X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}$ |
遠期承諾 vs. 或有求償權的訂價方法不同:遠期合約初始價值對雙方均為零,故用無套利訂價法;但選擇權買方須支付權利金,初始價值為正。此外遠期損益對雙方皆無上限,選擇權則為單邊:買方損失與賣方獲利上限均為已付權利金,因此或有求償權的無套利方法不同於遠期。
符號約定:$S_t$ 標的股價、$X$ 履約價、$T-t$ 到期時間、$c_t/p_t$ 歐式買/賣權價格、$R_f$ 無風險利率。
買權上界:$c_t \le S_t$(不會比直接買股還貴)。
賣權上界:歐式賣權須等到到期才能履約,故 $p_t \le X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}$(履約價的現值)。
下界(複製論證):
- 歐式買權:構造「多買權 + 多到期面額 $X$ 的零息債券 − 一股標的」,到期時無論 $S_T \gtrless X$ 皆 ≥ 0,因此初始組合價值亦 ≥ 0,得 $c_0 \ge \max[0, S_0 - X(1+R_f)^{-T}]$。
- 歐式賣權:構造「多賣權 + 一股標的 − 借款 $X(1+R_f)^{-T}$」,到期時皆 ≥ 0,得 $p_0 \ge \max[0, X(1+R_f)^{-T} - S_0]$。
圖 73.3 上下界整理(必背):
- 歐式買權:最低 $\max[0, S_t - X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}]$;最高 $S_t$。
- 歐式賣權:最低 $\max[0, X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)} - S_t]$;最高 $X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}$。
教授提醒:考試只需會用,不必推導。
Identify the factors that determine the value of an option and describe how each factor affects the value of an option.
There are six factors that determine option prices.
1. Price of the underlying asset. For call options, the higher the price of the underlying, the greater its exercise value and the higher the value of the option. Conversely, the lower the price of the underlying, the less its exercise value and the lower the value of the call. In general, call values increase when the underlying value increases. For put options the relationship is reversed — an increase in the underlying reduces the value of a put.
2. The exercise price. A higher exercise price decreases the values of call options; a lower exercise price increases the values of calls. A higher exercise price increases the values of put options; a lower exercise price decreases the values of puts.
3. The risk-free rate of interest. An increase in the risk-free rate will increase call option values, and a decrease in the risk-free rate will decrease call option values. An increase in the risk-free rate will decrease put option values, and a decrease in the risk-free rate will increase put option values.
4. Volatility of the underlying. Volatility is what makes options valuable. If there were no volatility in the price of the underlying (its price remained constant), options would always equal their exercise values and time/speculative value would be zero. An increase in the volatility of the underlying increases the values of both put and call options; a decrease in volatility decreases both put and call values.
5. Time to expiration. Because volatility is expressed per unit of time, longer time to expiration effectively increases expected volatility and increases the value of a call option. Less time to expiration decreases the time value of a call so that at expiration its value is simply its exercise value.
For most put options, longer time to expiration will increase option values for the same reason. However, for some European put options, extending the time to expiration can decrease the value of the put. In general, the deeper a put is in the money, the higher the risk-free rate, and the longer the current time to expiration, the more likely that extending the option's time to expiration will decrease its value.
To understand this, consider a put at $\$20$ on a stock whose value has decreased to $\$1$. The exercise value of the put is $\$19$, so the upside is very limited and the downside (if the underlying subsequently rises) is significant; because no payment will be received until expiration, the option value reflects the present value of any expected payment, and extending the time to expiration would decrease that present value. While we generally expect a longer time to expiration to increase the value of a European put, in the case of a deep in-the-money put, a longer time to expiration could decrease its value.
6. Costs and benefits of holding the asset. If there are benefits of holding the underlying (dividends, interest payments, or convenience yield), call values are decreased and put values are increased. The reason is most easily understood by considering cash benefits: a dividend or coupon reduces the value of the underlying, and a lower underlying value decreases call values and increases put values.
Positive storage costs make it more costly to hold an asset. We can think of this as making a call option more valuable because call holders can have long exposure to the asset without paying the costs of actually owning it. Puts are less valuable when storage costs are higher.
影響選擇權價值的六大因素:
- 標的資產價格:↑ 標的價 → 買權 ↑、賣權 ↓。
- 履約價:↑ 履約價 → 買權 ↓、賣權 ↑。
- 無風險利率:↑ 利率 → 買權 ↑、賣權 ↓。
記法:買權履約須支付 $X$(在未來),利率↑使其現值↓ → 買權↑;賣權履約是收取 $X$,利率↑使現值↓ → 賣權↓。 - 標的波動度:波動度是選擇權價值的來源。↑ 波動度 → 買權 ↑、賣權 ↑。
- 到期時間:多數情況下到期時間↑ → 買權 ↑、賣權 ↑;但對於深度價內、利率高且到期時間長的歐式賣權,延長到期時間反而可能降低其價值(因獲利已接近上限,且須等到到期才能收到,現值反而下降)。
- 持有成本與收益:持有收益(股息、利息、便利收益)→ 買權 ↓、賣權 ↑(因為派息會使標的價格下降)。儲存成本↑ → 買權 ↑、賣權 ↓。
- A. less than its time value.
- B. equal to its time value.
- C. greater than its time value.
- A. $\max(0,\; S - X)$.
- B. $\max\!\left[0,\; X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)} - S\right]$.
- C. $\max\!\left[0,\; S - X(1+R_f)^{-(T-t)}\right]$.
- A. increase put and call option prices.
- B. decrease put option prices and increase call option prices.
- C. increase put option prices and decrease call option prices.
If immediate exercise of an option would generate a positive payoff, the option is in the money. If immediate exercise would result in a negative payoff, the option is out of the money. An option's exercise value is the greater of zero or the amount it is in the money. Time value is the amount by which an option's price is greater than its exercise value. Time value is zero at expiration.
The approach for pricing contingent claims is different from the model for forward commitments because contingent claims have one-sided payoffs and values at initiation that are not equal to zero. A replication model for European options is based on the value of a portfolio in which the option is combined with a pure-discount bond and a long or short position in the underlying.
Factors that determine the value of an option:
| Increase in: | Effect on Call Option Values | Effect on Put Option Values |
|---|---|---|
| Price of underlying asset | Increase | Decrease |
| Exercise price | Decrease | Increase |
| Risk-free rate | Increase | Decrease |
| Volatility of underlying asset | Increase | Increase |
| Time to expiration | Increase | Increase, except some European puts |
| Costs of holding underlying asset | Increase | Decrease |
| Benefits of holding underlying | Decrease | Increase |
【LOS 73.a】立即履約有正報酬 → 價內;負報酬 → 價外。履約價值= max(0, 價內金額);時間價值= 權利金 − 履約價值,到期時時間價值歸零。
【LOS 73.b】或有求償權與遠期承諾的訂價方法不同:前者具單邊報酬且初始值非零。歐式選擇權的複製模型是將選擇權與零息債券,加上標的多/空頭部位組合,由無套利推得上下界。
【LOS 73.c】六大因素的影響:
- 標的價↑ → 買權↑、賣權↓
- 履約價↑ → 買權↓、賣權↑
- 無風險利率↑ → 買權↑、賣權↓
- 波動度↑ → 買權↑、賣權↑
- 到期時間↑ → 買權↑、賣權↑(部分歐式賣權例外)
- 持有成本↑ → 買權↑、賣權↓
- 持有收益↑ → 買權↓、賣權↑