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Reading 68

Derivatives · Derivative Benefits, Risks, and Issuer and Investor Uses

MODULE 68.1: USES, BENEFITS, AND RISKS OF DERIVATIVES

LOS 68.a

Describe benefits and risks of derivative instruments.

Advantages of Derivatives

Derivative instruments offer several potential advantages over cash market transactions, falling into four broad categories: (1) ability to change risk allocation, transfer risk, and manage risk; (2) information discovery; (3) operational advantages; and (4) improved market efficiency.

中文翻譯

相對於現貨市場交易,衍生工具具有四大潛在優勢:(1) 改變風險配置、移轉風險與管理風險;(2) 資訊發現;(3) 操作上的優勢;(4) 提升市場效率。

1. Ability to Change Risk Allocation, Transfer Risk, and Manage Risk

Risk exposures can be altered using derivatives without any cash market securities transactions. Examples:

  • A portfolio manager can increase or decrease exposure to the risk and return of a market index.
  • A manufacturer can hedge the exchange rate risk of anticipated receipts or payments.
  • The issuer of a floating-rate note can change that exposure to a fixed-rate obligation.

Derivatives can also create risk exposures that are not available in cash markets:

  • The owner of common stock can buy puts that act as a floor on the sale price of their shares — reducing downside risk by paying the cost of the puts.
  • An investor can acquire the upside potential of an asset without taking on its downside risk by buying call options.
中文翻譯

1. 改變風險配置、移轉風險、管理風險:可在不進行現貨交易的情況下調整曝險。例如:

  • 投資組合經理增減市場指數的風險與報酬曝險。
  • 製造商以衍生工具規避未來收付款的匯率風險。
  • 浮動利率債券發行人將浮動利率負債轉為固定利率負債。

衍生工具亦可創造現貨市場無法取得的曝險:例如買進股票賣權建立股價下方保護(以權利金換取下檔保護);買進買權獲取上漲潛能而不承擔下跌風險。

2. Information Discovery

Derivative prices and trading provide information that cash market transactions do not.

  • Implied volatility: Options prices depend on observable inputs (interest rates, underlying price, time to expiration, exercise price) and one unobservable input — the expected future price volatility of the underlying. Combining current option prices with the observable variables lets us back out the future price volatility that market participants expect.
  • Expected prices: Futures and forwards can be used to estimate expected prices of their underlying assets.
  • Expected interest rates: Interest rate futures across maturities can be used to infer expected future interest rates and even the number of central bank rate changes over a future period.
中文翻譯

2. 資訊發現:衍生工具的價格與交易提供現貨市場無法提供的資訊。

  • 隱含波動率:選擇權價格取決於可觀察變數(利率、標的價格、到期日、履約價)與一個無法觀察變數——標的未來預期波動率;以可觀察變數搭配市場選擇權價格可反推市場預期的未來波動率。
  • 預期價格:期貨與遠期可用來估計標的資產的預期價格。
  • 預期利率:不同到期日的利率期貨可推斷未來利率與央行升降息次數。

3. Operational Advantages

Compared to cash markets, derivatives markets have several operational advantages — greater ease of short selling, lower transaction costs, greater potential leverage, and greater liquidity.

  • Ease of short sales. Taking a short position by selling a forward or futures contract can be straightforward, while borrowing the underlying asset and short-sale restrictions may make direct shorting problematic or expensive.
  • Lower transaction costs. Especially for commodities derivatives, where transportation, storage, and insurance add costs to physical transactions. Entering a fixed-for-floating swap to convert floating-rate exposure to fixed is clearly cheaper than retiring a floating-rate note and issuing a fixed-rate note.
  • Greater leverage. The cash required for a derivatives position is typically much less than for the equivalent exposure in cash markets.
  • Greater liquidity. The low cash requirement makes very large transactions easier to handle.
中文翻譯

3. 操作優勢:與現貨市場相比,衍生市場具備四項操作優勢。

  • 易於放空:賣出遠期或期貨可建立空頭部位;現貨放空需借券且常受法規限制。
  • 較低交易成本:商品類尤其明顯(節省運輸、倉儲、保險成本);以利率交換將浮動利率負債轉為固定利率,遠比贖回原浮動債券再發行固定債券來得便宜。
  • 更高槓桿:所需現金遠低於現貨市場相同曝險。
  • 更高流動性:低保證金要求使大額交易更易執行。

4. Improved Market Efficiency

Low transaction costs, greater liquidity and leverage, and ease of short sales all make it less costly to exploit securities mispricing through derivatives transactions, which improves the efficiency of market prices.

中文翻譯

4. 提升市場效率:低交易成本、高流動性與槓桿、易於放空,使透過衍生工具套利錯誤定價變得更便宜,整體市場價格因此更有效率。

Risks of Derivatives

Implicit Leverage. The implicit leverage in derivatives gives them much more risk than their cash market equivalents. A lower cash requirement to enter a trade increases leverage. According to the CME Group, futures margins are typically in the 3% to 12% range — implying leverage of 8:1 to 33:1. With required cash margin of 4%, a 1% decrease in the futures price decreases the cash margin by 25%.

A lack of transparency in derivatives contracts and in structured securities (which combine derivative and cash market exposures) may lead to situations where purchasers do not well understand the risks of derivatives or securities with embedded derivatives.

中文翻譯

衍生工具的風險

隱含槓桿:衍生工具因隱含槓桿而比同等現貨曝險具備更高風險。CME 集團指出期貨保證金通常在 3% 至 12% 之間,相當於 8:1 至 33:1 的槓桿。若保證金為 4%,期貨價格下跌 1% 即使保證金減少 25%。此外,衍生契約與結構型商品(混合衍生與現貨)透明度不足,買方可能未充分理解風險。

Basis Risk

Basis risk arises when the underlying of a derivative differs from a position being hedged with the derivative. For a manager with a portfolio of 50 large-cap U.S. stocks, selling a forward with the S&P 500 Index as the underlying (in an amount equal to the portfolio value) would hedge portfolio risk but not eliminate it — returns on the portfolio and the index may differ over the life of the forward.

Basis risk also arises when an investor's horizon and the settlement date of the hedging derivative differ — for example, hedging a corn harvest occurring on September 15 by selling corn futures that settle on October 1. The hedge may be effective but is not perfect, and the corn producer is said to have basis risk.

中文翻譯

基差風險:當衍生工具的標的與被避險部位不同時即產生基差風險。例如持有 50 檔美國大型股的投資組合,以 S&P 500 指數遠期避險可降低風險但無法完全消除(兩者報酬不同)。又如以 10 月 1 日結算的玉米期貨避險 9 月 15 日的玉米收成——避險到期日與曝險時點不一致,亦會產生基差風險。

Liquidity Risk

Derivatives have a special type of liquidity risk when the cash flows from the hedge do not match the cash flows of the investor's position. Consider a farmer who sells wheat futures to hedge the value of her wheat harvest. If wheat futures prices rise, losses on the short position essentially offset the higher harvest income (as intended), but those losses can also trigger margin calls during the life of the contract. If the farmer does not have the cash to meet the margin calls, the position will be closed out and the value of the hedge will be lost.

中文翻譯

流動性風險:衍生避險的現金流時點若與被避險部位不一致,便會產生特殊的流動性風險。例如農民賣出小麥期貨避險,若期貨價格上漲,期貨虧損雖可由收成價值上升抵銷(避險效果有效),但期間可能因保證金追繳而需現金。若農民現金不足,部位被強制平倉,避險效果即告喪失。

Counterparty Credit Risk

Different derivatives and positions have important differences in the existence and amount of counterparty credit risk:

  • Option seller: faces no counterparty credit risk — once the premium is received, the seller will never be owed more at settlement.
  • Option buyer: will be owed money at settlement if the option is in the money, and so faces counterparty credit risk.
  • Forwards: both buyer and seller of a forward on an underlying asset may face counterparty credit risk.

In futures markets, the deposit of initial margin, daily mark-to-market, and the guarantee of the central clearinghouse together reduce counterparty risk. With forwards there may be no guarantees, or the contract may specify margin deposits, periodic mark-to-market, and a central clearing party to mitigate credit risk.

中文翻譯

交易對手信用風險:不同衍生工具承擔的對手風險有顯著差異。

  • 選擇權賣方:收取權利金後,結算時不會再被欠款,故無對手風險。
  • 選擇權買方:價內時會被欠付,承擔對手風險。
  • 遠期:買賣雙方皆可能面臨對手風險。

期貨市場透過保證金、每日結算與中央結算機構保證可降低對手風險;遠期則可能無保證,或由契約自行約定保證金、定期結算與中央結算機制以緩解信用風險。

Systemic Risk

Systemic risk: widespread impact on financial markets and institutions may arise from excessive speculation using derivative instruments. Market regulators attempt to reduce systemic risk through regulation — for example, the central clearing requirement for swap markets to reduce counterparty credit risk.

中文翻譯

系統性風險:過度以衍生工具進行投機可能對金融市場與機構造成廣泛衝擊。監管機構透過法規降低系統性風險,例如要求交換市場集中結算以降低對手信用風險。

LOS 68.b

Compare the use of derivatives among issuers and investors.

Derivatives Use by Issuers

Corporate users of derivative instruments are considered issuers of derivatives. A non-financial corporation may have risks associated with changes in asset and liability values as well as earnings volatility from changes in underlying securities or interest rates. Examples:

  • A corporation with foreign-currency income may hedge exchange rate risk with forwards to smooth earnings reported in its domestic currency.
  • A corporation reporting fixed-rate debt at fair value can enter a pay-floating interest rate swap to convert the fixed-rate liability into a floating-rate (much lower duration) one — making its balance sheet value less sensitive to changes in interest rates.
  • A corporation carrying commodity-like inventory at fair market value can sell forward contracts on a matching underlying so that gains/losses on the forwards offset changes in reported inventory value, reducing balance-sheet variability.
中文翻譯

LOS 68.b:比較發行方與投資人使用衍生工具的方式。

發行方(公司)使用衍生工具:使用衍生工具的企業稱為衍生工具的「發行方」。非金融企業可能因資產負債價值變動或標的證券、利率變動造成獲利波動而承擔風險。例如:

  • 外幣收入企業以遠期合約規避匯率風險,平滑本幣財報盈餘。
  • 以公允價值報告固定利率負債的企業,作為利率交換的浮動端付款方,可將固定利率負債轉為低存續期的浮動利率負債,使資產負債表對利率變動的敏感度降低。
  • 以公允價值列示商品型存貨的企業,賣出對應遠期,使遠期損益抵銷存貨價值變動,降低資產負債表波動。

Accounting rules may permit hedge accounting, which allows firms to recognize gains and losses of qualifying derivative hedges at the same time they recognize the corresponding changes in the values of the assets or liabilities being hedged. Issuer hedges are classified by their purpose:

  • Cash flow hedge. A hedge of the domestic currency value of future receipts in a foreign currency using forwards. A swap that converts a floating-rate liability to a fixed-rate liability is also a cash flow hedge — interest payment cash flows are made more certain.
  • Fair value hedge. A hedge that reduces (offsets) changes in the values of the firm's assets or liabilities. Examples: hedging changes in the balance-sheet value of inventory, or using an interest rate swap to reduce the volatility of debt values on the balance sheet.
  • Net investment hedge. A hedge that reduces the volatility of the equity value of a foreign subsidiary reported on the parent's balance sheet. Foreign currency forwards or futures can hedge changes in the reported equity value caused by exchange rate changes.
教授提醒
Memorize the three classifications by purpose: cash flow hedge (smooth future cash flow timing/amount), fair value hedge (offset balance-sheet value changes of assets/liabilities), net investment hedge (stabilize the reported equity value of a foreign subsidiary). The hedge type follows the thing being protected, not the derivative used.
中文翻譯

避險會計(Hedge Accounting)允許企業在被避險之資產或負債價值變動同期認列衍生工具損益。依避險目的分為三類:

  • 現金流避險:以遠期鎖定未來外幣收款的本幣價值;或以利率交換將浮動利率負債轉為固定利率(使利息現金流更確定)。
  • 公允價值避險:抵銷企業資產或負債價值變動。例如為存貨帳面價值避險,或以利率交換降低負債的公允價值波動。
  • 淨投資避險:降低海外子公司在合併報表中股東權益的價值波動,以外幣遠期或期貨避險匯率變動造成的權益價值波動。

教授提醒:三類避險以「被保護的對象」分類,而非以使用的衍生工具分類——現金流(未來現金流時點/金額)、公允價值(資產負債帳面價值)、淨投資(海外子公司權益)。

Derivatives Use by Investors

Investors can hedge, modify, or increase their exposure to the risk of an underlying asset or interest rate using either forward commitments or contingent claims. Examples:

  • An investor can buy silver forwards to gain exposure to the price of silver, with no or low funds initially required.
  • An investor can increase the duration of their bond portfolio by entering an interest rate swap as the floating-rate payer / fixed-rate receiver — economically similar to issuing floating-rate debt and buying a fixed-rate bond with the proceeds.
  • An equity portfolio manager can modify market risk exposure temporarily at low cost: increasing it by buying equity index futures or decreasing it by selling equity index futures. Alternatively, the manager could decrease downside risk while preserving upside potential by buying puts on an equity index.
教授提醒
Watch the contrast in the LOS 68.b quiz language: investor uses tend to be portfolio-centric (modify exposure, gain exposure, lengthen duration, buy index puts). Issuer uses tend to be balance-sheet centric (smooth FX earnings, hedge inventory fair value, stabilize foreign subsidiary equity). When a stem mentions inventory or a foreign subsidiary, the answer is "issuer."
中文翻譯

投資人使用衍生工具:投資人可透過遠期承諾或或有求償權避險、調整或增加對標的資產或利率的曝險。例如:

  • 買進白銀遠期以低成本取得白銀價格曝險。
  • 進入利率交換並擔任浮動付款方/固定收受方,可拉長債券投資組合存續期(經濟上類似發浮動債並買固定債)。
  • 股票投資組合經理可低成本暫時調整市場曝險:買進指數期貨增加曝險、賣出指數期貨減少曝險;或買進指數賣權保留上行潛能同時降低下行風險。

教授提醒:考試題幹常以「組合管理」描述投資人(調整曝險、拉長存續期、買指數賣權);以「資產負債表」描述發行方(外幣盈餘平滑化、存貨公允價值避險、海外子公司權益穩定)。題目提到「存貨」或「海外子公司」就選 issuer。

Module Quiz 68.1
1. Which of the following most accurately describes a risk of derivative instruments?
  • A. Derivatives make it easier for market participants to take short positions.
  • B. The underlying of a derivative might not fully match a position being hedged.
  • C. Volatility in underlying asset prices is implied by the prices of options on those assets.
B — Basis risk arises when the underlying of a derivative differs from a position being hedged. The ease of taking short positions and the implied volatility revealed by option prices are advantages, not risks. (LOS 68.a)
2. Uses of derivatives by investors most likely include:
  • A. hedging against price risk for inventory held.
  • B. modifying the risk exposure of a securities portfolio.
  • C. stabilizing the balance sheet value of a foreign subsidiary.
B — Modifying a securities portfolio's risk exposure is a derivatives use by investors. Hedging price risk on inventory and stabilizing the balance sheet value of a foreign subsidiary are derivatives uses by issuers. (LOS 68.b)
Key Concepts — Reading 68
LOS 68.a

Advantages of derivatives include the ability to change or transfer risk; information discovery about expected prices or volatility of underlying assets or interest rates; operational advantages such as ease of short sales, low transaction costs, and greater leverage and liquidity; and improved market efficiency.

Risks of derivatives include implicit leverage, basis risk from inexact hedges, liquidity risk from required cash flows, counterparty credit risk, and systemic risk for financial markets.

LOS 68.b

Derivatives uses by issuers include managing risks associated with changes in asset and liability values as well as earnings volatility from changes in various underlying securities or interest rates. Hedge accounting categories: cash flow hedge, fair value hedge, net investment hedge.

Derivatives uses by investors include hedging, modifying, or increasing exposure to the risk of an underlying asset or interest rate.

中文翻譯 — 重點整理

【LOS 68.a】衍生工具的優勢:改變/移轉風險、資訊發現(預期價格與波動率)、操作優勢(易放空、低成本、高槓桿、高流動性)、提升市場效率。風險:隱含槓桿、基差風險、流動性風險、對手信用風險、系統性風險。

【LOS 68.b】發行方使用衍生工具:管理資產負債價值變動及盈餘波動。避險會計三類:現金流避險、公允價值避險、淨投資避險。投資人使用衍生工具:避險、調整或增加對標的資產或利率的曝險。

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