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Reading 42

Equity Investments · Overview of Equity Securities

MODULE 42.1: TYPES OF EQUITY INVESTMENTS

LOS 42.a

Describe characteristics of types of equity securities.

Common shares are the most common form of equity and represent an ownership interest. Common shareholders have a residual claim (after the claims of debtholders and preferred stockholders) on firm assets if the firm is liquidated and govern the corporation through voting rights. Firms are under no obligation to pay dividends on common equity; the firm determines what dividend will be paid periodically. Common stockholders are able to vote for the board of directors, on merger decisions, and on the selection of auditors. If they are unable to attend the annual meeting, shareholders can vote by proxy (having someone else vote as they direct them, on their behalf).

In a statutory voting system, each share held is assigned one vote in the election of each member of the board of directors. Under cumulative voting, shareholders can allocate their votes to one or more candidates as they choose. For example, consider a situation where a shareholder has 100 shares and three directors will be elected. Under statutory voting, the shareholder can vote 100 shares for his director choice in each election. Under cumulative voting, the shareholder has 300 votes, which can be cast for a single candidate or spread across multiple candidates. The three receiving the greatest number of votes are elected. Cumulative voting makes it possible for a minority shareholder to have more proportional representation on the board. The way the math works, a holder of 30% of the firm's shares could choose three of ten directors with cumulative voting but could elect no directors under statutory voting.

中文翻譯

普通股(common shares)是最常見的股權形式,代表所有權。普通股股東對公司資產享有剩餘求償權(在債權人與特別股股東之後),並透過投票權治理公司。公司並無支付普通股股利的義務,由公司自行決定每期股利。普通股股東可投票選舉董事會、決定併購案及選任會計師;若無法出席股東會,可委託投票(proxy)

法定投票(statutory voting)制:每股對每一董事席次均有一票累積投票(cumulative voting)制:股東可自由將票數集中或分散投給候選人。例如持 100 股、選 3 席:法定制下每席各投 100 票;累積制下共 300 票,可全投單一候選人或分配給多人,得票數最高的 3 人當選。累積制使少數股東更容易取得董事席次比例代表——持 30% 股份者,累積制下可選出 10 席中的 3 席,但法定制下可能一席都選不上。

Preference shares (or preferred stock) have features of both common stock and debt. As with common stock, preferred stock dividends are not a contractual obligation, and the shares usually do not mature. Like debt, preferred shares typically make fixed periodic payments to investors and do not usually have voting rights. Preference shares may be callable, giving the firm the right to repurchase the shares at a pre-specified call price. They may also be putable, giving the shareholder the right to sell the preference shares back to the issuer at a specified price.

Cumulative preference shares are usually promised fixed dividends, and any dividends that are not paid must be made up before common shareholders can receive dividends. The dividends of non-cumulative preference shares do not accumulate over time when they are not paid, but dividends for any period must be paid before common shareholders can receive dividends.

Preferred shares have a stated par value and pay a percentage dividend based on the par value of the shares. An $80 par value preferred with a 10% dividend pays a dividend of $8 per year. Investors in participating preference shares receive extra dividends if firm profits exceed a predetermined level and may receive a value greater than the par value of the preferred stock if the firm is liquidated. Non-participating preference shares have a claim equal to par value in the event of liquidation and do not share in firm profits. Smaller and riskier firms whose investors may be concerned about the firm's future often issue participating preferred stock so investors can share in the upside potential of the firm.

Convertible preference shares can be exchanged for common stock at a conversion ratio determined when the shares are originally issued. They have the following advantages:

  • The preferred dividend is higher than a common dividend.
  • If the firm is profitable, the investor can share in the profits by converting his shares into common stock.
  • The conversion option becomes more valuable when the common stock price increases.
  • Preferred shares have less risk than common shares because the dividend is stable and they have priority over common stock in receiving dividends and in the event of liquidation of the firm.

Because of their upside potential, convertible preferred shares are often used to finance risky venture capital and private equity firms. The conversion feature compensates investors for the additional risk they take when investing in such firms.

中文翻譯

特別股(preference shares / preferred stock)兼具普通股與債務之性質。與普通股相同:股利非契約義務、通常無到期日。與債務相似:通常支付固定週期股利、通常無投票權。可為可贖回(callable),賦予公司以預定價買回;亦可為可賣回(putable),賦予股東以指定價賣回給發行公司。

累積特別股:未支付之股利須累積,於普通股配息前補發。非累積特別股:未付之股利不累積,但任一期之股利仍須先於普通股配發。

特別股有面值(par value),股利依面值百分比計算。例如 $80 面值、10% 股利者每年配 $8。參與特別股:當公司獲利超過預定水準時可獲額外股利,清算時可取得高於面值之金額。非參與特別股:清算僅取得面值,不分享公司利潤。較小、較高風險的公司常發行參與特別股,以讓投資人分享上行潛力。

可轉換特別股(convertible preference shares):可依發行時訂定的轉換比率換成普通股。優點:

  • 特別股股利高於普通股
  • 若公司獲利可透過轉換分享利潤
  • 普通股價上漲時轉換選擇權更有價值
  • 特別股風險低於普通股(股利穩定、配息與清算優先)

因具上行潛力,可轉換特別股常用於高風險的創投私募股權融資;轉換特性補償投資人所承擔的額外風險。

LOS 42.b

Describe differences in voting rights and other ownership characteristics among different equity classes.

A firm may have different classes of common stock (e.g., "Class A" and "Class B" shares). One class may have greater voting power and seniority if the firm's assets are liquidated. The classes may also be treated differently with respect to dividends, stock splits, and other transactions with shareholders. Information on the ownership and voting rights of different classes of equity shares can be found in the company's filings with securities regulators, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States.

中文翻譯

公司可能發行不同類別的普通股(如 Class A、Class B)。某一類可能享有較大投票權及清算時的優先順位,亦可能在股利、分割、其他交易上有差別待遇。不同股票類別的所有權與投票權資訊可於公司向證券監管機構(如美國 SEC)的申報文件中查得。

LOS 42.c

Compare and contrast public and private equity securities.

The discussion so far has centered on equity that is publicly traded. Private equity is usually issued to institutional investors via private placements. Private equity markets are smaller than public markets but are growing rapidly.

Compared to public equity, private equity has the following characteristics:

  • Less liquidity because no public market for the shares exists.
  • Share price is negotiated between the firm and its investors, not determined in a market.
  • More limited firm financial disclosure because there is no government or exchange requirement to do so.
  • Lower reporting costs because of less onerous reporting requirements.
  • Potentially weaker corporate governance because of reduced reporting requirements and less public scrutiny.
  • Greater ability to focus on long-term prospects because there is no public pressure for short-term results.
  • Potentially greater return for investors once the firm goes public.

The three main types of private equity investments are venture capital, leveraged buyouts, and private investments in public equity.

Venture capital refers to the capital provided to firms early in their life cycles to fund their development and growth. Venture capital financing at various stages of a firm's development is referred to as seed or start-up, early stage, or mezzanine financing. Investors can be family, friends, wealthy individuals, or private equity funds. Venture capital investments are illiquid and investors often have to commit funds for three to ten years before they can cash out (exit) their investment. Investors hope to profit when they can sell their shares after (or as part of) an initial public offering or to an established firm.

In a leveraged buyout (LBO), investors buy all of a firm's equity using debt financing (leverage). If the buyers are the firm's current management, the LBO is referred to as a management buyout (MBO). Firms in LBOs usually have cash flow that is adequate to service the issued debt or have undervalued assets that can be sold to pay down the debt over time.

In a private investment in public equity (PIPE), a public firm that needs capital quickly sells private equity to investors. The firm may have growth opportunities, be in distress, or have large amounts of debt. The investors can often buy the stock at a sizeable discount to its market price.

中文翻譯

私募股權(private equity)通常透過私募方式售予機構投資人。市場規模小於公開市場,但成長快速。

與公開股權相較,私募股權的特性:

  • 流動性較低(無公開市場)
  • 股價由公司與投資人協商,非市場決定
  • 財務揭露較有限(無政府或交易所強制要求)
  • 申報成本較低
  • 公司治理可能較(揭露少、外部監督少)
  • 更能聚焦長期(無短期業績壓力)
  • 公司上市後投資人可能獲得較高報酬

三大私募股權類型:創投、槓桿收購、PIPE

創投(VC):投資企業生命週期早期,融資階段含種子/新創、早期、夾層融資(mezzanine)。投資人可為親友、富裕個人或私募基金。流動性差,常須3–10 年方能退出,多透過 IPO 或售予成熟公司獲利。

槓桿收購(LBO):以債務融資買下全部股權;若收購者為現任管理層即管理層收購(MBO)。LBO 標的公司通常現金流足以還債,或有可變現的低估資產。

PIPE(公開公司之私募):上市公司急需資金時將股權私募給投資人。公司可能有成長機會、處於困境或負債過重;投資人常能以對市價大幅折價購入。

Module Quiz 42.1
1. The advantage of participating preferred shares versus non-participating preferred shares is that participating preferred shares can:
  • A. obtain voting rights.
  • B. receive extra dividends.
  • C. be converted into common stock.
B — Participating preferred shares can receive extra dividends if firm profits exceed a pre-specified level and a value greater than the par value if the firm is liquidated. (LOS 42.a)
2. Which of the following best describes the benefit of cumulative share voting?
  • A. It provides significant minority shareholders with proportional representation on the board.
  • B. It prevents minority shareholders from exercising excessive control.
  • C. If cumulative dividends are not paid, preferred shareholders are given voting rights.
A — Cumulative voting allows minority shareholders to gain representation on the board because they can use all of their votes for specific board members. (LOS 42.b)
3. Compared to public equity, which of the following is least likely to characterize private equity?
  • A. Lower reporting costs.
  • B. Potentially weaker corporate governance.
  • C. Lower returns because of its less liquid market.
C — Private equity has less liquidity because no public market for it exists. The lower liquidity of private equity would increase required returns. (LOS 42.c)

MODULE 42.2: FOREIGN EQUITIES AND EQUITY RISK

LOS 42.d

Describe methods for investing in non-domestic equity securities.

When capital flows freely across borders, markets are said to be integrated. The world's financial markets have become more integrated over time, especially as a result of improved communications and trading technologies. However, barriers to global capital flows still exist. Some countries restrict foreign ownership of their domestic stocks, primarily to prevent foreign control of domestic companies and to reduce the variability of capital flows in and out of their countries.

An increasing number of countries have dropped foreign capital restrictions. Studies have shown that reducing capital barriers improves equity market performance. Furthermore, companies are increasingly turning to foreign investors for capital by listing their stocks on foreign stock exchanges or by encouraging foreign ownership of shares.

From the firm's perspective, listing on foreign stock exchanges increases publicity for the firm's products and the liquidity of the firm's shares. Foreign listing also increases firm transparency due to the stricter disclosure requirements of many foreign markets.

Direct investing in the securities of foreign companies simply refers to buying a foreign firm's securities in foreign markets. Some obstacles to direct foreign investment are that:

  • The investment and return are denominated in a foreign currency.
  • The foreign stock exchange may be illiquid.
  • The reporting requirements of foreign stock exchanges may be less strict, impeding analysis.
  • Investors must be familiar with the regulations and procedures of each market in which they invest.

Other methods for investing in foreign companies are provided by global depository receipts (GDRs), American depository receipts (ADRs), global registered shares (GRSs), and baskets of listed depository receipts (BLDRs).

Depository receipts (DRs) represent ownership in a foreign firm and are traded in the markets of other countries in local market currencies. A bank deposits shares of the foreign firm and then issues receipts representing ownership of a specific number of the foreign shares. The depository bank acts as a custodian and manages dividends, stock splits, and other events. Although the investor does not have to convert to the foreign currency, the value of the DR is affected by exchange rate changes, as well as firm fundamentals, economic events, and any other factors that affect the value of any stock.

If the firm is involved with the issue, the depository receipt is a sponsored DR; otherwise, it is an unsponsored DR. A sponsored DR provides the investor voting rights and is usually subject to greater disclosure requirements. In an unsponsored DR, the depository bank retains the voting rights.

Global depository receipts (GDRs) are issued outside the United States and the issuer's home country. Most GDRs are traded on the London and Luxembourg exchanges. Although not listed on U.S. exchanges, they are usually denominated in U.S. dollars and can be sold to U.S. institutional investors. GDRs are not subject to the capital flow restrictions imposed by governments and thus offer the firm and the investor greater opportunities for foreign investment. The firm usually chooses to list the GDR in a market where many investors are familiar with the firm.

American depository receipts (ADRs) are denominated in U.S. dollars and trade in the United States. The security on which the ADR is based is the American depository share (ADS), which trades in the firm's domestic market. Some ADRs allow firms to raise capital in the United States or use the shares to acquire other firms. Most require U.S. SEC registration, but some are privately placed (Rule 144A or Regulation S receipts).

The four types of ADRs, with different levels of trading availability and firm requirements, are summarized in Figure 42.1.

Figure 42.1: Types of ADRs
 Level ILevel IILevel IIIRule 144A
Trading locationOver-the-counter (OTC)NYSE, Nasdaq, and AMEXNYSE, Nasdaq, and AMEXPrivate
SEC registration requiredYesYesYesNo
Ability to raise capital in United StatesNoNoYesYes
Firm listing expensesLowHighHighLow

Global registered shares (GRS) are traded in different currencies on stock exchanges around the world.

A basket of listed depository receipts (BLDR) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that is a collection of DRs. ETF shares trade in markets just like common stocks.

中文翻譯

當資本可自由跨境流動,市場即稱為整合(integrated)。全球市場因通訊與交易技術進步而日益整合,但資本流動障礙仍存——部分國家為防止外資控制本國企業並減少資金流動波動,限制外資持有本國股票。

越來越多國家解除限制;研究顯示降低障礙能改善股市表現。公司也越來越多透過於外國交易所掛牌或鼓勵外資持股,吸引海外資金。對公司而言,海外掛牌可提高產品曝光度與股票流動性,並因外國較嚴格的揭露要求而提升透明度

直接投資外國股票的障礙:

  • 投資與報酬以外幣計價
  • 外國市場可能流動性差
  • 外國揭露較不嚴格,分析困難
  • 須熟悉各市場法規與程序

其他投資方式:GDR(全球存託憑證)、ADR(美國存託憑證)、GRS(全球註冊股票)、BLDR(存託憑證 ETF)

存託憑證(DR):代表對外國公司的所有權,於他國市場以當地貨幣交易。銀行存放外國股份後發行憑證;存託銀行擔任保管人,處理股利、分割等事項。投資人雖無需換匯,但 DR 價值仍受匯率變動及公司基本面影響。

若由發行公司參與則為有擔保(sponsored)DR,賦予投資人投票權且揭露要求較高;無擔保(unsponsored)DR則由存託銀行保留投票權。

GDR:發行於美國境外及發行人本國以外之地點,多在倫敦、盧森堡交易;雖未在美國掛牌,但多以美元計價,可售予美國機構投資人;不受資本流動管制,便利跨境投資。

ADR:以美元計價、在美國交易。其標的證券為美國存託股份(ADS),於公司本國市場交易。部分 ADR 可用於在美籌資或併購;多須向 SEC 註冊,少數採私募(Rule 144A 或 Regulation S)。

圖 42.1:ADR 四類比較

  • Level I:OTC 交易;須 SEC 註冊;不可在美籌資;掛牌費用低
  • Level II:NYSE/Nasdaq/AMEX;須 SEC 註冊;不可籌資;費用高
  • Level III:NYSE/Nasdaq/AMEX;須 SEC 註冊;在美籌資;費用高
  • Rule 144A:私募;不需 SEC 註冊;可籌資;費用低

GRS:全球各交易所以不同貨幣交易。BLDR:由 DR 組成之ETF,於市場像普通股一樣交易。

LOS 42.e

Compare the risk and return characteristics of different types of equity securities.

The returns on equity investments consist of price changes, dividend payments, and, in the case of equities denominated in a foreign currency, gains or losses from changes in exchange rates. A Japanese investor who invests in euro-denominated shares will have greater yen-based returns if the euro appreciates relative to the yen.

Gains from dividends and the reinvestment of dividends have been an important part of equity investors' long-term returns. For example, $1 invested in U.S. stocks in 1900 would have been worth $1,402 in real terms in 2016 with dividends reinvested but only $11.90 with price appreciation alone. Over the same time period, the terminal wealth for bonds and bills would have been $9.80 and $2.60, respectively.

The risk of equity securities is most commonly measured as the standard deviation of returns. Preferred stock is less risky than common stock because preferred stock pays a known, fixed dividend to investors that is a large part of the return, whereas common dividends are variable and can vary with earnings. Also, preferred stockholders receive their distributions before common shareholders and have a claim in liquidation equal to the par value of their shares that has priority over the claims of common stock owners. Because it is less risky, preferred stock has a lower average return than common stock.

Cumulative preferred shares have less risk than non-cumulative preferred shares because they retain the right to receive any missed dividends before any common stock dividends can be paid.

For both common and preferred shares, putable shares are less risky and callable shares are more risky compared to shares with neither option. Putable shares are less risky because if the market price drops, the investor can put the shares back to the firm at a fixed price (assuming the firm has the capital to honor the put). Because of this feature, putable shares usually pay a lower dividend yield than non-putable shares.

Callable shares are the most risky because if the market price rises, the firm can call the shares, limiting the upside potential of the shares. Callable shares, therefore, usually have higher dividend yields than non-callable shares.

中文翻譯

股權報酬來源:價格變動、股利,以及(外幣計價時)匯率損益。例:日本投資人持有歐元計價股票,歐元對日圓升值將提高日圓報酬。

股利及股利再投資是長期報酬的重要部分。例:1900 年投入美股 $1,到 2016 年含再投資實質終值為 $1,402,但僅靠價格上漲僅有 $11.90;同期債券/國庫券分別為 $9.80、$2.60。

股權風險常以報酬標準差衡量。特別股風險低於普通股:股利已知且固定(占報酬大部分);配息與清算順位優先;故平均報酬較低

累積特別股風險低於非累積特別股(漏付股利須補發)。

對普通股與特別股皆然:可賣回(putable)股票風險最低可贖回(callable)股票風險最高。Putable:價跌時可按固定價賣回,因此股利殖利率較低。Callable:價漲時公司可贖回,限制上行潛力,故股利殖利率較高

LOS 42.f

Explain the role of equity securities in the financing of a company's assets.

Equity capital is used for the purchase of long-term assets, equipment, research and development, and expansion into new businesses or geographic areas. Equity securities provide the firm with "currency" that can be used to buy other companies or that can be offered to employees as incentive compensation. Having publicly traded equity securities provides liquidity, which may be especially important to firms that need to meet regulatory requirements, capital adequacy ratios, and liquidity ratios.

中文翻譯

股權資金用於購置長期資產、設備、研發,及擴張至新業務或地區。股權證券亦為公司提供「貨幣」——可用於併購其他公司或作為員工激勵性薪酬。公開交易的股權還提供流動性,對需符合法規、資本適足率、流動性比率的公司尤其重要。

LOS 42.g

Contrast the market value and book value of equity securities.

The primary goal of firm management is to increase the book value of the firm's equity and thereby increase the market value of its equity. The book value of equity is the value of the firm's assets on the balance sheet minus its liabilities. It increases when the firm has positive net income and retained earnings that flow into the equity account. When management makes decisions that increase income and retained earnings, they increase the book value of equity.

The market value of equity is the total value of a firm's outstanding equity shares based on market prices and reflects the expectations of investors about the firm's future performance. Investors use their perceptions of the firm's risk and the amounts and timing of future cash flows to determine the market value of equity. The market value and book value of equity are seldom equal. Although management may be maximizing the book value of equity, this may not be reflected in the market value of equity because book value does not reflect investor expectations about future firm performance.

中文翻譯

管理層的首要目標是提升公司股權的帳面價值,進而提升市值股權帳面價值=資產負債表上的資產減去負債;當公司有正淨利並累積保留盈餘時即增加。管理層做出提高收入與保留盈餘的決策,即會提升股權帳面價值。

股權市值=在外流通股數依市價計算之總值,反映投資人對未來表現之預期。投資人依公司風險、未來現金流的金額與時點決定市值。市值與帳面價值很少相等——管理層雖極大化帳面價值,但此未必反映於市值,因帳面價值無法呈現投資人對未來的預期。

LOS 42.h

Compare a company's cost of equity, its (accounting) return on equity, and investors' required rates of return.

A key ratio used to determine management efficiency is the accounting return on equity, usually referred to simply as the return on equity (ROE). ROE is calculated as net income available to common (net income minus preferred dividends) divided by the average book value of common equity over the period:

\[ ROE_t = \frac{NI_t}{\text{average } BV_t} = \frac{NI_t}{(BV_t + BV_{t-1})/2} \]

Alternatively, ROE is often calculated using only beginning-of-year book value of equity (i.e., book value of equity for end of year \(t-1\)):

\[ ROE_t = \frac{NI_t}{BV_{t-1}} \]

The first method is more appropriate when it is the industry convention or when book value is volatile. The latter method is more appropriate when examining ROE for a number of years or when book value is stable.

Higher ROE is generally viewed as a positive for a firm, but the reason for an increase should be examined. For example, if book value is decreasing more rapidly than net income, ROE will increase. This is not, however, a positive for the firm. A firm can also issue debt to repurchase equity, thereby decreasing the book value of equity. This would increase the ROE but also make the firm's shares riskier due to the increased financial leverage (debt).

教授提醒

The DuPont formula discussed in the reading on Financial Analysis Techniques can help the analyst determine the reasons for changes in ROE.

The book value of equity reflects a firm's financial decisions and operating results since its inception, whereas the market value of equity reflects the market's consensus view of a firm's future performance. The price-to-book ratio (also called the market-to-book ratio) is the market value of a firm's equity divided by the book value of its equity. The more optimistic investors are about the firm's future growth, the greater its price-to-book ratio. The price-to-book ratio is used as a measure of relative value. Often, firms with low price-to-book ratios are considered value stocks, while firms with high price-to-book ratios are considered growth stocks.

Example: ROE, market, and book value of equity calculations

Given the following data for O'Grady Industries, calculate the return on average equity for 20X9 and the total market value of equity, the book value per share, and the price-to-book ratio at the end of 20X9.

Fiscal Year-End Dec. 3120X920X8
Total stockholder's equity18,50317,143
Net income available to common3,5263,056
Stock price$16.80$15.30
Shares outstanding3,7102,790
Answer

The return on average equity for 20X9 is:

\[ ROE_t = \frac{NI_t}{(BV_t + BV_{t-1})/2} = \frac{\$3{,}526}{(\$18{,}503 + \$17{,}143)/2} = 19.78\% \]

The total market value of the firm's equity at the end of 20X9 is:

\[ \$16.80 \times 3{,}710 = \$62{,}328 \]

The book value per share at the end of 20X9 is:

\[ \frac{\$18{,}503}{3{,}710} = \$4.99 \]

The price-to-book ratio at the end of 20X9 is:

\[ \frac{\$16.80}{\$4.99} = 3.37 \]

Investors' Required Return and the Cost of Equity

A firm's cost of equity is the expected equilibrium total return (including dividends) on its shares in the market. Cost of equity is usually estimated in practice using a dividend discount model or the capital asset pricing model. At any point in time, a decrease in share price will increase the expected return on the shares and an increase in share price will decrease expected returns, other things equal. Because the intrinsic value of a firm's shares is the discounted present value of its future cash flows, an increase (decrease) in the required return used to discount future cash flows will decrease (increase) intrinsic value.

Investors also estimate the expected market returns on equity shares and compare this to the minimum return they will accept for bearing the risk inherent in a particular stock.

If an investor estimates the expected return on a stock to be greater than her minimum required rate of return on the shares, given their risk, then the shares are an attractive investment. Investors can have different required rates of return for a given risk, different estimates of a firm's future cash flows, and different estimates of the risk of a firm's equity shares. A firm's cost of equity can be interpreted as the minimum rate of return required by investors (in the aggregate) to compensate them for the risk of the firm's equity shares.

中文翻譯

衡量管理效率的關鍵比率為會計上的股東權益報酬率(ROE)=普通股可得淨利(淨利減特別股利)÷ 期間平均普通股股權帳面價值:

\(ROE_t = \dfrac{NI_t}{(BV_t + BV_{t-1})/2}\)

另一算法以期初帳面價值(即 \(t-1\) 年底)為分母:

\(ROE_t = \dfrac{NI_t}{BV_{t-1}}\)

第一式適用於業界慣例或帳面值波動大時;第二式適用於跨多年比較或帳面值穩定時。

ROE 上升一般視為正面,但須探究原因。例如:帳面值下降速度快於淨利下降,會使 ROE 上升,但對公司並非好事。公司亦可舉債回購股權,降低帳面值、推高 ROE,但因財務槓桿(負債)增加而使股票更具風險

教授提醒:「財務分析技術」一節的 DuPont 公式可協助分析師判定 ROE 變動的原因

帳面值反映公司自成立以來的財務與經營結果;市值反映市場對未來的共識看法。股價淨值比(P/B,亦稱 market-to-book)=股權市值 ÷ 股權帳面值。投資人對未來成長越樂觀,P/B 越高;常用於相對估值。低 P/B 多視為價值股高 P/B 多視為成長股

範例(O'Grady Industries)

  • 20X9 平均 ROE=3,526 ÷ ((18,503+17,143)/2) ≈ 19.78%
  • 20X9 末股權市值=16.80 × 3,710 = $62,328
  • 20X9 末每股帳面值=18,503 ÷ 3,710 = $4.99
  • 20X9 末 P/B=16.80 ÷ 4.99 ≈ 3.37

投資人要求報酬與股權成本:公司的股權成本=市場上預期的均衡總報酬(含股利),實務上以股利折現模型CAPM估計。其他條件不變下,股價下跌→預期報酬上升;股價上升→預期報酬下降。內在價值=未來現金流折現值,故折現率上升(下降)會使內在價值下降(上升)。

投資人會將預期市場報酬與所願承擔風險的最低要求報酬比較。若預期報酬 > 最低要求報酬,該股具吸引力。不同投資人對相同風險可有不同要求報酬、不同現金流估計與風險評估。公司的股權成本可解讀為所有投資人合計要求的最低報酬率,以補償其承擔之股權風險。

Module Quiz 42.2
1. Global depository receipts are most often denominated in:
  • A. the currency of the country where they trade and issued outside the United States.
  • B. U.S. dollars and issued in the United States.
  • C. U.S. dollars and issued outside the United States.
C — Global Depository Receipts are not listed on U.S. exchanges and are most often denominated in U.S. dollars. They are not issued in the United States. (LOS 42.d)
2. Which of the following types of preferred shares has the most risk for investors?
  • A. Putable shares.
  • B. Callable shares.
  • C. Non-putable, non-callable shares.
B — Callable shares are the most risky because if the market price rises, the firm can call in the shares, limiting the investor's potential gains. Putable shares are the least risky because if the market price drops, the investor can put the shares back to the firm at a predetermined price. The risk of non-putable, non-callable shares falls in between. (LOS 42.e)
3. Which of the following best describes the book value of equity?
  • A. Management should attempt to maximize book value of equity.
  • B. Book value of equity decreases when retained earnings increase.
  • C. Book value of equity reflects investors' perceptions of the firm's future.
A — The primary goal of firm management is to increase the book value of equity. It increases when retained earnings are positive. The market value of equity reflects the collective expectations of investors about the firm's future performance. (LOS 42.g)
4. Which of the following causes of an increase in return on equity is most likely a positive sign for a firm's equity investors?
  • A. A firm issues debt to repurchase equity.
  • B. Net income is increasing at a faster rate than book value of equity.
  • C. Net income is decreasing at a slower rate than book value of equity.
B — Net income increasing at a faster rate than book value of equity generally would be a positive sign. If a firm issues debt to repurchase equity, this decreases the book value of equity and increases the ROE. However, now the firm becomes riskier due to the increased debt. Net income decreasing at a slower rate than book value of equity would increase ROE, but decreasing net income is not a positive sign. (LOS 42.h)
Key Concepts
LOS 42.a — Types of Equity Securities

Common shareholders have a residual claim on firm assets and govern the corporation through voting rights. Common shares have variable dividends which the firm is under no legal obligation to pay.

Preferred stock typically does not mature, does not have voting rights, and has dividends that are fixed in amount but are not a contractual obligation of the firm.

  • Cumulative preferred shares require any dividends that were missed in the past (dividends in arrears) to be paid before common shareholders receive any dividends.
  • Participating preferred shares receive extra dividends if firm profits exceed a pre-specified level and a value greater than par value if the firm is liquidated.
  • Convertible preferred stock can be converted to common stock at a pre-specified conversion ratio.
  • Callable shares allow the firm the right to repurchase the shares at a pre-specified price; putable shares give the shareholder the right to sell the shares back to the firm at a pre-specified price.
LOS 42.b — Different Equity Classes

Some companies' equity shares are divided into different classes, such as Class A and Class B shares. Different classes of common equity may have different voting rights and priority in liquidation.

LOS 42.c — Public vs. Private Equity

Compared to publicly traded firms, private equity firms have lower reporting costs, greater ability to focus on long-term prospects, and potentially greater return for investors once the firm goes public. However, private equity investments are illiquid, firm financial disclosure may be limited, and corporate governance may be weaker.

LOS 42.d — Investing in Foreign Equities

Investors who buy foreign stock directly on a foreign stock exchange receive a return denominated in a foreign currency, must abide by the foreign stock exchange's regulations and procedures, and may be faced with less liquidity and less transparency. These disadvantages can be avoided by purchasing depository receipts that trade on the investor's domestic exchange.

  • Global depository receipts — issued outside the United States and outside the issuer's home country.
  • American depository receipts — denominated in U.S. dollars and traded on U.S. exchanges.
  • Global registered shares — common shares that trade in different currencies on stock exchanges throughout the world.
  • Baskets of listed depository receipts — exchange-traded funds that invest in depository receipts.
LOS 42.e — Risk & Return Characteristics

Equity returns consist of dividends, capital gains/losses, and any foreign exchange gains/losses. Compounding of reinvested dividends has been an important part of long-term returns.

Preferred stock is less risky than common stock (fixed dividend, priority in distributions and liquidation). Putable shares are the least risky and callable shares are the most risky. Cumulative preferred shares are less risky than non-cumulative preferred shares.

LOS 42.f — Role in Financing

Equity securities provide funds to the firm to buy productive assets, to buy other companies, or to offer to employees as compensation. Equity securities also provide liquidity that may be important when the firm must raise additional funds.

LOS 42.g — Book Value vs. Market Value

The book value of equity is the difference between the financial statement value of the firm's assets and liabilities. Positive retained earnings increase book value. Book values reflect the firm's past operating and financing choices.

The market value of equity is the share price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding. Market value reflects investors' expectations about the timing, amount, and risk of future cash flows.

LOS 42.h — Cost of Equity, ROE & Required Returns

The accounting return on equity (ROE) is calculated as net income divided by the book value of common equity. ROE measures whether management is generating a return on common equity but is affected by the firm's accounting methods.

\[ ROE_t = \frac{NI_t}{(BV_t + BV_{t-1})/2} \quad \text{or} \quad ROE_t = \frac{NI_t}{BV_{t-1}} \]

The firm's cost of equity is the minimum rate of return that investors in the firm's equity require. Investors' required rates of return are reflected in the market prices of the firm's shares.

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